This morning’s Oscar nominations were, on the whole, pretty predictable. Lots of love for The Social Network, The King’s Speech, The Fighter, and True Grit as well as almost the exact same acting nominations pundits had been predicting for months. We also don’t have another Avatar debacle on our hands this year, meaning the integrity of the Academy isn’t at stake. In fact, there are hardly any stakes at all.
But does that mean I have no opinions? Please. You can bet your sweet ass I have opinions.
Opinions on all 24 categories would be a bit overkill, though, so I’m going to limit myself to the writing and acting categories, as well as Best Picture (duh). Let’s start off with the writing awards…
Writing (Original Screenplay)
Another Year
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
Pretty solid category. The sheer scope of Inception mandated its nomination, while The Kids Are All Right pulled off an original, and, for a change, realistic family dramedy that deserved recognition. The King’s Speech managed to be a highly entertaining period piece without heavy reliance on ornate costumes or even any film-favorite monarchs. Can’t pass judgment on Another Year since I haven’t seen it, but I do think Black Swan should’ve gotten The Fighter‘s nomination. The latter may have been drawing from real-life events, but dear lord did it feel like every gritty boxing movie ever made. Black Swan, on the other hand, expertly weaved Swan Lake into its tense story.
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s Bone
Probably the biggest (and it’s still relatively mild) surprise came from the resurgence of Winter’s Bone, which nabbed four nods. I’m not disputing all of its nominations — as you’ll see below — but I do think the story was a little too slow-paced. I found my pet cause The Ghost Writer to be the more gripping neo-noir and way more deserving of screenplay recognition. All the other movies here are all right (ha, see what I did there?) with me.
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Christian Bale, The Fighter
John Hawkes, Winter’s Bone
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech
John Hawkes is a pleasant surprise — he’s one of the best parts of Winter’s Bone. Geoffrey Rush is also a good choice, as is current frontrunner (and rightly so) Christian Bale. Mark Ruffalo was fine, though by no means the movie’s standout, while Jeremy Renner did an alright job playing Tommy DeVito in a just alright movie. But Academy, where in God’s name is Andrew Garfield?! He should have merited a nomination on this alone.
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
Happy Hailee Steinfeld nudged her way in there, haven’t seen Animal Kingdom, and if Melissa Leo doesn’t win, I won’t know what to believe anymore.
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem, Bitiful
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
Colin Firth is going to take this (which I’m more than happy about) so everyone else better get used to just being nominees. But wasn’t expecting Javier Bardem to oust Ryan Gosling and Robert Duvall from this category. Maybe it’s due to one of his most recent accolades: induction into Conan O’Brien’s Oscar Winner F-Bomb Hall of Fame.
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine
Okay, haven’t seen Blue Valentine or Rabbit Hole, but as far as I’m concerned, Annette Bening and Natalie Portman are the only nominees that matter. Jennifer Lawrence was good, too, but the girl’s 20 years old. She has time. Time to watch Natalie Portman walk across the stage and accept her Oscar. (Still love you, though, Annette.)
Best Picture
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s Bone
No one in this category is entirely undeserving; some are just better than others. Black Swan should be number one, but it already seems a given that The Social Network will win it. Again, this isn’t another Avatar-Hurt Locker race, so there’s no reason to hate. The Social Network is definitely in the top tier. That tier also includes Black Swan, The Kids Are All Right, The King’s Speech, and Toy Story 3. Inception is right on the cusp, while 127 Hours, True Grit, and Winter’s Bone are in the lower tier (again, doesn’t make them bad). Really, though, The Fighter is carried by its acting; Best Picture is a stretch. Should have been The Ghost Writer instead. (Attention Hollywood: Roman Polanski may be a disgusting motherfucker, but he makes good movies. I don’t see you giving creeptastic Woody Allen a hard time.) Whatever. Unlike Marky Mark, The Fighter doesn’t stand a chance in hell.
Shocks, snubs, or just general reactions? Leave ‘em in the comments. (Also, for the full list of nominations, click here.)